Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.018786 0.020586 0.022399 0.024357 0.026409 0.028493 0.030764
2025-07-20 0.015238 0.018036 0.020971 0.024259 0.027822 0.031548 0.035725
2025-07-27 0.013003 0.016336 0.019941 0.024086 0.028681 0.033584 0.039174
2025-08-03 0.011742 0.015509 0.019685 0.024586 0.030115 0.036101 0.043014
2025-08-10 0.010366 0.014399 0.018982 0.024468 0.030757 0.037656 0.045715
2025-08-17 0.009148 0.013360 0.018265 0.024244 0.031202 0.038926 0.048039
2025-08-24 0.008204 0.012569 0.017768 0.024213 0.031813 0.040338 0.050481
2025-08-31 0.007299 0.011754 0.017182 0.024024 0.032196 0.041452 0.052554
2025-09-07 0.006556 0.011085 0.016727 0.023951 0.032678 0.042653 0.054702
2025-09-14 0.005748 0.010270 0.016041 0.023553 0.032742 0.043340 0.056234
2025-09-21 0.005038 0.009530 0.015407 0.023182 0.032805 0.044001 0.057715
2025-09-28 0.004213 0.008559 0.014420 0.022326 0.032243 0.043895 0.058277
2025-10-05 0.003853 0.008264 0.014345 0.022660 0.033191 0.045648 0.061104
2025-10-12 0.003368 0.007745 0.013952 0.022582 0.033637 0.046818 0.063272
2025-10-19 0.002910 0.007219 0.013513 0.022416 0.033949 0.047810 0.065214
2025-10-26 0.002693 0.007059 0.013572 0.022895 0.035067 0.049771 0.068305
2025-11-02 0.002331 0.006617 0.013203 0.022782 0.035417 0.050787 0.070262
2025-11-09 0.001983 0.006156 0.012775 0.022567 0.035620 0.051613 0.071980
2025-11-16 0.001717 0.005808 0.012495 0.022537 0.036049 0.052706 0.074014
2025-11-23 0.001447 0.005414 0.012119 0.022356 0.036268 0.053529 0.075714
2025-11-30 0.001230 0.005091 0.011832 0.022286 0.036620 0.054511 0.077600
2025-12-07 0.000983 0.004657 0.011342 0.021904 0.036547 0.054949 0.078815
2025-12-14 0.000774 0.004260 0.010884 0.021548 0.036492 0.055399 0.080035